Private investment & operating firm
Finding opportunity where others don't look.
Agosto Capital is a research-driven firm built on systems. We trade prediction markets algorithmically, rebuild small businesses with AI, and acquire the best of them for our own portfolio.
What we do
Three engines, one operating system.
Each engine sharpens the others. Our trading research builds the technology core; our AI services map the best niches; our portfolio captures the upside on our own balance sheet.
Prediction Markets
Automated, algorithmic trading on prediction markets. The research discipline and technology that everything else is built on.
Predictions, simplifiedAI Services
We go into niche small businesses, fix operations with AI, and run the demand engine, paid ads and local search that fill the calendar.
See the playbookPrivate Equity
A buy-and-build portfolio. We acquire durable small businesses, professionalize them with our playbook, and grow earnings and multiple together.
View our buy boxOperating thesis
Buy earnings. Manufacture multiple expansion.
Thin, evergreen niches
Specificity is the edge. "Intake automation for pool-service companies" beats "software for SMBs." Narrow niches mean clearer pain and word-of-mouth that compounds.
Sell the playbook, then own it
Every AI and marketing system we build for a client is a reusable asset, and the best-performing niches become acquisition targets for our own portfolio.
Compound on our balance sheet
A single small business trades at 2-4× earnings. A professionalized roll-up is worth far more. The spread is the return.
Get in touch
Let's find the opportunity others miss.
Whether you run a business ready to scale, want to sell to a partner who'll steward it, or want to learn more about the firm, we'd like to hear from you.
Contact Agosto Capital